Armenia: Exclusive interview with Olivier Decottignies

French Ambassador

Alain Boinet: Mr. Ambassador, thank you for answering our questions for the online magazine Défis Humanitaires. You are the French ambassador to Yerevan in Armenia. My first question concerns Missak and Mélinée Manouchian, who were inducted into the Panthéon on February 21. It’s a powerful symbol, saluting the memory of a Resistance fighter who fought with his comrades for our country during the war, and who paid for it with their lives. What is the significance of this event?

Olivier Decottignies : Thank you very much. This is first and foremost a French event, a republican event, a national commemoration. But it is also a Franco-Armenian event insofar as the leader of this group of foreign resistance fighters, who are honored at the Panthéon, was an Armenian. Missak Manouchian was a survivor of the 1915 genocide, who spent his childhood in the orphanages of Lebanon, before arriving in France as an adult. He was a multi-faceted personality: Armenian, communist activist, volunteer in Armenian charities, resistance fighter, poet, worker. Through him and his wife Mélinée, who was also a member of his network and lies beside him in the Panthéon, the entire Manouchian group is honored. A group that included more than just Armenians – it included Italians, Hungarians, Poles, Spaniards… Many of them were Jews. The contribution to the Resistance of all these foreigners who died for France is now recognized.

Alain Boinet: At the end of January, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pachinian proposed that Azerbaijan sign a non-aggression pact in anticipation of a comprehensive peace treaty. On February 13, 4 Armenian soldiers were killed by Azeri fire in Syunik province. President Ilham Aliyev regularly makes bellicose statements. How can we understand this attitude, and what can be done to preserve peace in the South Caucasus?

Olivier Decottignies: The situation between Armenia and Azerbaijan is still one of armed conflict, since we’re talking about negotiating a peace treaty. This conflict regularly gives rise to incidents along the military contact lines. Moreover, these contact lines do not always correspond to the actual border line, since Azerbaijan has been occupying whole swathes of Armenia’s sovereign territory militarily since its offensives in May 2021 and September 2022. Negotiations have been initiated in various formats. These negotiations are no longer making substantial progress, which explains the concerns not only of the Armenian authorities and France, but of all those working for peace. The statements by President Aliyev to which you refer obviously contribute to this concern.

City of Meghri, Syunik province, southern Armenia, bordering Iran, Azerbaijan and Nakhichevan. © Alain Boinet

Alain Boinet: One of the reasons put forward by Azerbaijan is the passage between its territory, to the east, and Nakhchivan, to the west, which is Azeri and separated to some extent by Armenia and its province of Syunik. For the Armenians, what is the solution for allowing passage between these two parts of Azerbaijan? And why isn’t this happening?

Olivier Decottignies: The proposal that the Armenians are making, not only to Azerbaijan but to all the states in the region, is to find a traffic regime, which the Armenians have christened “peace crossroads.” This initiative was launched last October by the Prime Minister of Armenia, from Georgia. It does not only concern Azerbaijan and Armenia, but aims to integrate all neighboring states, by facilitating movement in the region under certain conditions: freedom, reciprocity, equality of these states and respect for their sovereignty. It’s a formula that has the merit of uniting all the states in the region around common interests and clear principles. This formula has the support of France.

Alain Boinet: So, why isn’t this being done?

Olivier Decottignies: There are several aspects to the discussions. One of them, which is essential if you want to make peace with your neighbor, is to determine where one country begins and the other ends. The delimitation of the border has not been agreed between the two states, not only on the route, but also on the method, and in particular on the references that would be used. The key principle is that of the Alma-Ata declaration, which stipulates that the borders of the states that have emerged from the Soviet Union correspond to the administrative boundaries of the former Soviet republics. This principle is binding on both Armenia and Azerbaijan, and was reiterated by both states in Prague in October 2022, thanks to the mediation of President Emmanuel Macron. Then, in order to proceed with the route, we need a reference frame. This reference frame is provided by Soviet-era maps. Today, there is no complete agreement between the parties on which set of maps should be used.

Alain Boinet: Does Armenia agree with this set of maps? With the borders as they were defined at the time?

Olivier Decottignies: Armenia adheres to the Alma-Ata principles. But these principles don’t just apply to Armenia, they also apply to Azerbaijan and to all the post-Soviet states that signed up to this rule when the Soviet Union broke up. We’re talking about a time when administrative boundaries existed, but had no more physical manifestation than the boundaries between French departments or regions.

Alain Boinet: Armenia’s neighbors are Russia, Azerbaijan, Turkey, Iran and Georgia. What is the attitude of these countries to the situation in the South Caucasus, to the tension you just mentioned? What is their position with regard to Armenia? What can more distant countries like France, the member states and the European Union, India, Greece, the United States and India, which are also concerned by the issues at stake in this region, do?

Olivier Decottignies: It’s difficult for me to speak on behalf of these countries, which I don’t represent. On the other hand, I have a regular dialogue with the Armenian authorities and I can try to explain the situation they are in.

Armenia has noted on several occasions, in particular in May 2021 and September 2022, that the security guarantee historically provided by Russia, and which in principle commits Russia within the framework of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), had not been forthcoming. It also realized in 2023 that the Russian peacekeepers who had been deployed in Nagorno-Karabakh as part of the Russian-brokered ceasefire agreement of 2020 had been left holding the bag when the Azerbaijani offensive against Nagorno-Karabakh began.

In fact, the Russian soldiers only left their barracks when it came to disarming the Nagorno-Karabakh forces, as provided for in the ceasefire agreement between the de facto authorities and the Azerbaijani government. So there was an Azerbaijani offensive against Nagorno-Karabakh, carried out with the support of Turkey, but also with the complicity of Russia, and which resulted in the mass forced departure of almost all the Armenians from this territory – over 100,000 people – who have taken refuge in Armenia.

Defense agreements signed on February 22 and 23 in Yerevan by defense ministers Sébastien Lecornu and Souren Papikian. © Olivier DecottigniesArmenia is therefore seeking to diversify its security partnerships. To this end, it is turning to more distant countries such as France, with which we are developing a defense relationship in terms of equipment, training and consulting. And France, in choosing this defense relationship with Armenia, has broken a taboo, since it is the first NATO country to supply defense equipment to Armenia, which remains a member of the Collective Security Treaty Organization. In the same spirit, Armenians are also turning to India. And after the French Minister of the Armed Forces on February 23, the Greek Minister of Defense visited Armenia on March 4.

On another note, we shouldn’t forget Iran, which is an important neighbor for Armenia, insofar as Teheran has reaffirmed, on numerous occasions, its concern that the Armenian-Iranian border to the south of Armenia should not be controlled by any state other than Armenia.

Alain Boinet: French President Emmanuel Macron recently declared that France has a friendly relationship with Armenia. Observers understood that this was an evolution, the affirmation of a special relationship. Can you tell us more?

Olivier Decottignies: The closeness is not new, it’s the result of a long shared history, between the two states, but also between the two peoples. Today, there is above all a very clear line, which is that of the President of the Republic: France’s support for Armenia is unconditional, wholehearted and constant. This is the line that my team in Yerevan, under the authority of the Minister of Europe and Foreign Affairs, and with the support of all the government departments concerned, are implementing.

Alain Boinet: Doesn’t this create obligations in the current situation?

Olivier Decottignies: France’s position is not declaratory: it is translated into action. In the humanitarian sphere, France has responded to the massive exile of 100,000 Armenians from Nagorno-Karabakh with humanitarian aid that has been increased to 29 million euros for 2023, i.e. more than any other bilateral donor. France was the first to send emergency medical aid to Armenia, the first to evacuate severely wounded and burn victims from Nagorno-Karabakh to French hospitals. France was also at the forefront politically. On three occasions, it referred the situation in Nagorno-Karabakh to the Security Council. At European level, it has pushed for measures that were adopted by the Foreign Affairs Council last November: on the one hand, the reinforcement of the European observation mission, whose numbers will double; and on the other, the opening of discussions to give Armenia access to the European Peace Facility. Last but not least, France has been there for Armenia on a bilateral level, including, as has been said, in terms of defense relations.

The ambassador with a French military delegation in Armenia. © Olivier Decottignies

Alain Boinet: In this tense situation, where things could get out of hand, as Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pachinian recently mentioned on Armenian television, what can we expect from the European Union, but also from the United Nations and other countries, in order to avoid the risk of a potential conflict?

Olivier Decottignies: All member states of the United Nations are, in principle, committed to respecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of other members. So that’s what we’re entitled to expect from any state. Of course, the member states of the Security Council, of which France is a member, have special responsibilities.

Armenia wishes to draw closer to the European Union. As Prime Minister Nikol Pachinian told the European Parliament on October 17, Armenia is ready to develop its relationship with the European Union as far as the EU is prepared to go. Armenia welcomed the prospect of EU membership opened up to Georgia a few weeks ago. It also held a cooperation council with the European Union.

The European Union observer mission is a very good example of what the European Union can do effectively and concretely. Having been out in the field on patrol with the mission, I’ve been able to observe that European observers are warmly welcomed, that they are greeted in a friendly manner in the villages and on the roadsides, that their presence reassures. They are proof, for these vulnerable and isolated populations living in military contact zones, that they are not forgotten by the world. In addition to this reassuring role, the presence of this observation mission means that the international community can obtain impartial information, which is essential in a crisis of this nature. It helps to dispel the fog of war.

Alain Boinet: Is it conceivable that, in the current context, this mission could be mobilized more specifically in the Syunik region, which seems particularly threatened?

Olivier Decottignies: The mission’s mandate covers the whole of Armenia. So it can go anywhere. Its patrols focus primarily on border areas and military contact zones. The mission’s aim is to have sufficient manpower to increase the number of patrols, and Syunik is obviously one of the priority areas in this context.

Alain Boinet: Do you think that the current fragmentation of the world, as illustrated by the war in Ukraine, the Sahel or the Taiwan Strait, is a favorable moment that Azerbaijan could exploit by attempting a military coup against Armenia, a member of the international community represented at the United Nations?

Olivier Decottignies: I don’t know what the intentions of the Azerbaijani authorities are, and I have no contact with them. But what I do know is that in this fragmented, degraded international environment you describe, there have been several military episodes in recent years involving Azerbaijan and Armenia, or Azerbaijan and the Nagorno-Karabakh region, and that each time, Azerbaijan has taken the initiative.

Olivier Decottignies at a meeting on humanitarian aid for Armenia with members of the Crisis and Support Center of the French Ministry of Europe and Foreign Affairs. © Olivier Decottignies

Alain Boinet : On September 19 and 20, a military offensive by Azerbaijan drove 100,000 Armenians from their ancestral territory of Nagorno-Karabakh, or Artsakh, in Azerbaijan. How were they received in Armenia? What is their current situation? And how is France helping these refugees?

Olivier Decottignies: 100,000 people forced to leave their homes in less than a week is no mean feat. Given the scale of this population movement, the Armenian response, with the support of the international community and France in particular, has been satisfactory. In particular, no refugee camps have sprung up. Shelter solutions were found in the homes of private volunteers and relatives, as well as in hotels, gymnasiums and schools requisitioned by the state. The immediate response was, I think, equal to the challenge. The surge of solidarity was very strong in Armenia, and the international community was there to help. France played a key role in this response, as we were the leading bilateral donor of humanitarian aid to Armenia, with 29 million euros in 2023, thanks to the mobilization of the Government and Parliament.

Now that the emergency phase is over, the question arises of integrating the refugees. Integration raises legal issues, such as the choice of whether or not to opt for Armenian nationality. It also implies responding to very concrete challenges, which we stand by Armenia:

  • The question of housing, i.e. not just transitional accommodation, but sustainable housing;
  • The question of employment, with a labor market structure that was quite different in Nagorno-Karabakh from that in Armenia, with a much greater weighting of the public sector and the agricultural sector;
  • The question of education: of the 100,000 refugees, some 23,000 school-age children have been integrated into the Armenian school system, but all this has a cost and requires support;
  • Finally, a question that is far from secondary is that of psychosocial support. We’re talking about a population traumatized by nine months of blockade, a brutal military offensive and a forced exodus. It’s a multi-traumatized population, because for many, this is not their first experience of forced displacement. Some were driven out in the late 1980s and early 1990s by anti-Armenian pogroms in Azerbaijan. And for every Armenian, whether from Nagorno-Karabakh, Armenia or the diaspora, there is the memory of the genocide, whether we like it or not. It’s a trauma that rekindles other traumas, and requires appropriate psychosocial support. This is one of the priorities of our humanitarian cooperation with Armenia, now and in the months to come.

Alain Boinet: In France, humanitarian and development aid, apart from the Crisis and Support Center of the Ministry of Europe and Foreign Affairs and the French Development Agency, is essentially provided by associations, foundations and local authorities. What can these players do in Armenia today for those who are not yet present, and what do you suggest?

Olivier Decottignies: These players are already doing a great deal. Armenia is a land of decentralized cooperation. There isn’t a single region in Armenia that hasn’t established cooperation with French local authorities at municipal or governorate level. And on the French side, civil society organizations, diaspora organizations and NGOs are mobilized and present on the ground. Through the CDCS, we have supported Acted, Médecins du Monde and Action contre la Faim, who are hard at work in Armenia with their Armenian partners. Many diaspora organizations have been active in the country since independence, or even before, since the starting point for French humanitarian action in Armenia was the earthquake of December 7, 1988.

The priority for organizations wishing to help Armenia and Armenians is, of course, to support the refugees from Nagorno-Karabakh, in the four main areas we mentioned: housing, employment, education and psychosocial support.

At the same time, given Armenia’s current situation, we need to focus on the most strategic sectors and the regions most at risk. This means sectors that are crucial to Armenia’s territory, economy and resilience, as well as border regions close to military contact lines. From this point of view, there are no small issues and no small projects. A territory that holds together is one where the population stays, so there are jobs, services that can – and must – also be medical, educational and cultural services. I believe that today the most important thing is to concentrate where we can have the greatest impact, and to act not just with compassion, but strategically. We must always think of Armenia with the map in front of us.

Of course, all these organizations and initiatives know that they can get advice from the Embassy team: our door is always open to them.

Alain Boinet: How do you see Armenia’s future?

Olivier Decottignies: I see it looking towards Europe. This is the sense of the democratic trajectory that the Armenian people chose during the “velvet revolution” of 2018 and that they have maintained ever since, through all the trials and tribulations. From this point of view, Armenia’s recent accession to the International Criminal Court is also a very strong signal. However, turning towards Europe does not mean ignoring our regional environment. Building Armenia’s future requires reaching a peace agreement with Azerbaijan, but also, more broadly, a modus vivendi that enables all the states in the region to take full advantage of their strategic position at the crossroads of Europe, Asia and the Middle East. That’s why the resolution of this conflict is so important to us Europeans.

Alain Boinet: How would you like to conclude this interview?

Olivier Decottignies: I’d like to conclude by expressing my gratitude to all those who make up our relationship with Armenia and whom I meet in France and when they visit Armenia: the humanitarian community, civil society, the diaspora, local authorities, elected representatives and French administrations. They always welcome me with a lot of ideas, a lot of enthusiasm and a lot of commitment to developing this relationship with Armenia. I think it’s a great opportunity to benefit from this support, and there are few bilateral relations that arouse such support. From the bottom of my heart, thank you.

Alain Boinet: Thank you, Mr. Ambassador.

 

Visit the website of the French Embassy in Armenia

 

Olivier Decottignies

Olivier Decottignies is a career diplomat.

Former Consul General of France in Erbil, Kurdistan, Iraq (2019-2023), he worked from 2015 to 2016 as a researcher at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy and from 2016 to, 2017 at the French Embassy in the United States. From 2012 to 2015, he was second counselor at the French Embassy in Iran, overseeing the nuclear portfolio and regional issues. Prior to that, he served at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Paris, where he worked on politico-military issues, in particular NATO and EU missions and operations in Libya, the Balkans and the Caucasus. He was deployed to Haiti as part of the first aid effort following the 2010 earthquake.

An alumnus of the École normale supérieure in Lyon, he holds a master’s degree in public affairs from Sciences Po Paris, a master’s degree in history from the École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS) and a bachelor’s degree in history from the Sorbonne.

The Butterfly Effect, from war to humanitarian aid!

© UNRWA Ashraf Amra

“Can the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil cause a tornado in Texas? This statement by meteorologist Edward Lorenz is the origin of the Butterfly Effect theory. Can this theory now be applied to geopolitics, and with what consequences for humanitarian aid?

At the end of the International Conference in Support of Ukraine, which brought together 21 heads of state and government at the Elysée Palace on February 26, French President Emmanuel Macron declared that “nothing must be excluded”, and raised the possibility of Western troops being deployed in Ukraine itself.

Is it triggered by a balance of power that is becoming dangerously unfavorable to the Ukrainians, linked to Trump’s provocative statements about the weakness of the European war effort?

When Vladimir Putin replied in his annual address to the Russian nation, “This constitutes a real threat of conflict with the use of nuclear weapons, which means the destruction of civilization”, is this another Butterfly Effect, and how far could it lead when we know that this Butterfly Effect is also known as chaos theory?

Let’s meditate on the famous phrase by Carl Von Clausewitz, Prussian general, philosopher and military historian, in his book “The Art of War”, when he writes that war is the pursuit of politics by other means. And we are at war today on the European continent, where numerous humanitarian organizations are active in Ukraine to help the victims. Having failed to preserve peace on the continent, are we doomed to see this war last, intensify, expand to other territories, or even escalate to the use of unconventional weapons?

Some figures speak volumes.

France’s defense budget rose from 32.3 billion euros in 2017 to 47 billion euros in 2024, and is expected to reach around 70 billion euros in 2030! The general trend is similar worldwide. According to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), 2022 represents the eighth consecutive year of growth for defense worldwide, estimated at $2,340 billion. Spending in Europe (480 billion euros in 2022) has exceeded its level at the end of the Cold War.

“If you want peace, prepare for war” goes the ancient adage, and that’s exactly what could happen now, as Europe and the United States switch to a war economy and fail to keep Ukraine supplied with shells. Russia produces 2 to 2.5 million shells a year, while the Western commitment to supply one million shells was limited to 300,000 in 9 months out of a one-year commitment.

Experts are now talking about the risk of a tipping point in the war in Ukraine, with a possible final victory for Russia. Faced with this risk, and anxious about the American elections at the end of the year, the countries of Europe are essentially in agreement: “We will do everything we can to ensure that Russia cannot win this war”.

It’s a long road to the causes and consequences that will impact on humanitarian aid and those involved. The geopolitical Butterfly Effect has now spread to the entire planet. The international order that has prevailed since the demise of the USSR is over, and we have entered a phase of fragmentation that has French general Michel Yakolveff saying, “We’re in for 20 years of chaos”.

Against this backdrop, let’s ask ourselves the following question. Is there a link between the war in Ukraine and Azerbaijan’s military offensive against Nagorno-Karabakh or Artsakh, now threatening Armenia and leading countries like India and France to supply arms to this country?

Armenian soldiers in front of the 50 tanks delivered by France to Armenia for defense.

Is there an imitation effect between the tug-of-war between the Alliance of Sahel States (Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger) and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), and the renewed war in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) between the army and the M23 rebel movement, militarily supported by Rwanda, and a coalition comprising Angola, South Africa and Burundi?

Is it necessary to mention the situation in Gaza to understand, as in Ukraine, that this is also a regional war with a global dimension, which plunges us into the uncertainty of its serious long-term consequences. In any case, let’s be clear here: humanitarian aid to the people of Gaza is an immediate survival emergency, and an absolute moral obligation.

Against a backdrop of deregulation of international relations, weakening of the UN and questioning of Western magisterial authority, this is an opportune moment for countries and actors who would like to take advantage of the situation to seize territories by force.

In an article, journalists Stéphane Aubouard and Alain Léauthier in Marianne calculated that if we added up the populations of countries at war with a state, those in civil war, in hybrid war or in civil war, this would represent 48% of the world’s population. These conflicts are just as likely to worsen as to spread, at a time and in an environment favorable to any challenge to the established order.

What’s the Butterfly Effect for humanitarian aid?

Will humanitarian needs increase, stabilize or decrease? This is the question we need to ask ourselves in order to prepare for the most likely scenario. Fragmentation is a source of conflict, as we can see from the tensions in Moldavia with Transnistria and in the Balkans.

While the consequences of conflict currently account for the lion’s share of humanitarian aid, let’s not forget that climate disruption and its catastrophes, water stress, hunger and the gradual depletion of natural resources against a backdrop of demographic growth and exponentially increasing consumption will amplify and accelerate the need for humanitarian responses.

What will be the trend over the coming years in terms of people’s access to relief? Improvement, stabilization or regression? Do the examples of Gaza, the blockade of Nagorno-Karabakh, Ukraine and the war-torn territories of the Sahel countries illustrate the trend?

Will funding be sufficient to meet the vital needs of populations affected by war, disaster or epidemics? According to OCHA and Martin Griffiths, the alarm bells were ringing in 2023, with the worst funding shortfall on record, when only 19.9 billion USD of the 56.7 billion USD estimated at the end of the year had been raised! What will happen in 2024 and beyond?

France, which had increased its Official Development Assistance (ODA) from less than 10 billion euros in 2017 to more than 15 billion in 2022, has just cut its 2024 ODA by 746 million euros as part of a 10 billion euro plan to reduce public spending, for lack of sufficient growth! How can we compensate for this loss, how can we make up for it in 2025?

The big question, then, is whether the new international context of conflict and the arms race, of a transition to a war economy that would cause constraints and shortages in certain sectors, will see ODA and humanitarian aid sanctuarized at the level of needs or, on the contrary, reduced.

Not to mention the risk of humanitarian aid being politicized, both by certain states and by various organizations. The recent publication of an article entitled “La folle dérive des ONG” (“The mad drift of NGOs”) in the magazine Franc-tireur, calling into question the impartiality of human rights NGOs, should give us food for thought about how to maintain public and donor confidence, and strengthen access to populations at risk.

For a humanitarian aggiornamento.

© UNWRA. Supply trucks for Gaza waiting to enter.

Humanitarians today are faced with a host of challenges, some of which depend on them, others on which they have little or no control. The humanitarian sector needs to reconsider its human, financial and logistical capacities, as well as its capacity for innovation, public support and influence.

Influence is more than ever essential if humanitarian concerns are to be kept alive, broadened and deepened in public policy. Whether we’re talking about ODA, humanitarian funding, access to water, food, shelter and healthcare, or all the interacting factors such as climate, water, natural resources and the environment, all of which I can’t mention here.

Don’t get me wrong, I believe in influencing humanitarian public policy, not in some partisan ideology using humanitarianism to weaken our influence and ultimately our action. Others can do it, but mixing genres is contrary to the humanitarian principles of neutrality, impartiality and independence, which are the main conditions for humanitarian access, often abused, sometimes blocked, but always essential.

In this editorial, despite the description of a rather gloomy geopolitical landscape, my aim is to be realistic. While the worst is fortunately never certain, to prevent it we must act accordingly, and today’s world also harbors many signs of hope, including the precious optimism of the will to avoid chaos and preserve humanism.

This article is an illustration of the editorial policy of the online magazine Défis Humanitaires. Analyze, anticipate, propose and debate for a more intelligent and effective humanitarianism. Debate, as we are doing here once again on the dramatic situation in Gaza, and as we will continue to do for the future of humanitarianism.

 

Alain Boinet

Alain Boinet is President of the association Défis Humanitaires, which publishes the online magazine http://www.defishumanitaires.com. He is the founder of the humanitarian association Solidarités International, of which he was Managing Director for 35 years. He is also a member of the Groupe de Concertation Humanitaire at the Centre de Crise et de Soutien of the French Ministry of Europe and Foreign Affairs, and of the Board of Directors of Solidarités International, the Partenariat Français pour l’Eau (PFE), the Véolia Foundation and the Think Tank (re)sources. He continues to travel to the field (North-East Syria, Nagorno-Karabakh/Artsakh and Armenia) and to speak to the media.

 

We are pleased to offer you articles and interviews on Gaza, Armenia and Kurdistan, as well as articles on water to mark World Water Day on March 22. Thank you for your support (MakeaDonation). Issue 86 :